OAA Football Computer Ratings (2022)
As of 2022-11-24 11:11:44 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
^=OAA Blue Division
%=OAA Gold Division
W L
- -
1 Clarkston 10 3 752
2 W Bloomfield 8 2 717
3 Adams 10 2 699
4 *Southfield A/T 8 3 686
5 *Rochester 6 5 606
6 Lake Orion 4 6 605
7 Stoney Creek 5 5 569
8 *Groves 9 4 558
9 *Harper Woods 3 6 519
10 Oxford 1 8 508
11 ^Seaholm 8 3 502
12 ^Farmington 6 4 498
13 *Bloomfield Hills 3 6 482
14 ^Troy 7 3 463
15 ^N Farmington 2 7 424
16 %Ferndale 5 5 414
17 %Avondale 6 4 411
18 *Oak Park 0 9 384
19 ^Athens-Troy 5 4 370
20 %Berkley 2 7 318
21 %Royal Oak 1 8 268
22 %Pontiac 0 9 195
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Caledonia 2 0 844
Cass Tech 2 1 759
Davison 1 1 718
Saline 1 0 705
Utica 2 0 701
Eisenhower 1 1 661
De LaSalle 1 0 658
Lapeer 0 2 652
Roseville 1 0 619
Chippewa Val 1 0 608
Romeo 1 0 608
Stevenson-SH 0 2 600
Bedford 1 0 598
Lincoln-Ypsilanti 1 0 598
River Rouge 0 1 586
St Mary Prep 1 1 542
L'Anse Creuse 1 0 514
West Catholic 1 0 514
Brother Rice 1 0 511
Renaissance 0 1 506
Holly 2 0 504
Anchor Bay 0 1 469
Franklin 0 1 458
Mott-Warren 0 1 458
Det Jesuit 1 1 443
Chandler Park Acd 0 1 419
Lakeview-SCS 1 0 418
Milan 1 0 418
Mumford 0 2 368
Lamphere 1 0 368
L'Anse Creuse N 0 1 363
Lakeshore-SCS 0 1 314
Cousino 0 1 311
Fitzgerald 0 1 311
Bp Foley 1 0 295
Garden City 1 0 295
Mt Clemens 1 0 295
Fraser 0 2 274
Ford-SH 0 1 270
Upsets: 11 of 154 ( 7.14%) -- 137 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 37.31291
Report created 11/24/22 at 11:11:44 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2022 )
BASED ON 85 GAMES BETWEEN 22 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 32.10 .823 .938 245 137 6 1 0
2 Clarkston MHSAA-1 31.68 .784 .936 307 231 7 1 0
3 Adams MHSAA-1 29.76 .789 .923 353 218 8 2 0
4 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 18.41 .758 .840 344 173 6 2 0
5 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 14.23 .517 .806 250 223 4 4 0
6 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 6.47 .428 .737 205 195 3 5 0
7 Rochester MHSAA-1 3.93 .504 .713 192 217 5 4 0
8 Groves MHSAA-2 -6.11 .657 .607 230 172 7 3 0
9 Harper Woods MHSAA-2 -6.46 .354 .602 173 175 2 5 0
10 Oxford MHSAA-1 -11.34 .171 .543 50 161 1 6 0
11 Seaholm MHSAA-2 -14.92 .705 .497 359 157 7 3 0
12 Farmington MHSAA-2 -16.70 .835 .474 241 98 6 1 0
13 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -17.85 .303 .459 157 305 3 6 0
14 Oak Park MHSAA-2 -24.74 .078 .369 126 257 0 7 0
15 Troy MHSAA-1 -25.55 .527 .359 102 151 4 3 0
16 N Farmington MHSAA-2 -28.23 .323 .326 157 200 2 6 0
17 Avondale MHSAA-3 -33.46 .649 .266 197 116 4 2 0
18 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -34.76 .542 .253 163 145 4 3 0
19 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 -42.76 .442 .182 141 137 3 4 0
20 Berkley MHSAA-2 -55.57 .296 .104 102 244 2 5 0
21 Royal Oak MHSAA-2 -65.31 .185 .063 83 230 1 6 0
22 Pontiac MHSAA-3 -88.70 .013 .004 62 297 0 6 0
LN( 85- 22+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Adams MHSAA-1 35 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 18 .543
2 Troy MHSAA-1 16 Farmington MHSAA-2 14 .547
3 Farmington MHSAA-2 39 Seaholm MHSAA-2 21 .552
4 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 7 Oxford MHSAA-1 3 .592
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 11-13-2022 at 12:48:38 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 15.00