OAA Football Computer Ratings (2024)
As of 2024-12-14 20:00:39 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
^=OAA Blue Division
%=OAA Gold Division
W L
- -
1 Adams 10 3 687
2 *Groves 12 1 653
3 Clarkston 7 4 649
4 Oxford 7 4 633
5 Lake Orion 6 4 614
6 W Bloomfield 5 6 595
7 *Harper Woods 9 4 568
8 ^N Farmington 6 4 550
9 *Stoney Creek 5 5 538
10 ^Seaholm 7 4 537
11 %Ferndale 6 4 510
12 ^Farmington 7 4 494
13 %Avondale 7 4 492
14 *Rochester 4 5 471
15 ^Troy 4 5 459
16 ^Oak Park 3 6 420
17 *Southfield A/T 2 7 397
18 ^Athens-Troy 3 6 394
19 %Berkley 2 7 355
20 ^Bloomfield Hills 1 8 326
21 %Royal Oak 3 6 305
22 %Pontiac 1 8 235
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Hudsonville 1 0 787
Belleville 1 0 749
St Mary Prep 3 0 741
Dakota 1 0 733
Saline 1 0 714
Roseville 1 0 695
Det Cath Central 2 0 694
Goodrich 1 0 668
Grand Blanc 1 1 660
Stevenson-Livonia 1 0 650
Eisenhower 1 1 641
Notre Dame-Pont 2 0 607
Lamphere 2 0 602
Cedar Springs 1 0 592
Walled Lk Western 1 0 592
Anchor Bay 0 1 587
Romeo 0 1 587
De LaSalle 0 1 553
Det Jesuit 0 1 553
South Lyon 0 1 553
Davison 0 1 533
Lapeer 1 0 520
Northville 0 1 514
Chippewa Val 0 1 495
Novi 0 1 495
East English Vlg 0 1 468
Union-Redford 0 2 468
Jackson NW 1 0 455
Walled Lk Cent 1 0 455
Divine Child 1 1 454
Cousino 0 1 438
Huron-Ann Arbor 0 1 438
Mott-Warren 0 1 437
Ford-SH 0 1 410
Lincoln-King Acad 2 0 402
Lutheran North 0 2 399
Crestwood 0 1 394
Holly 0 1 394
Lakeland 0 1 394
Airport 0 1 392
Thurston 0 1 392
Walled Lk N'ern 0 1 371
Fraser 0 2 298
Beecher 0 1 297
Renaissance 0 1 297
Clarenceville 0 1 205
Clawson 0 1 205
Douglass 0 1 135
Upsets: 6 of 166 ( 3.61%) -- 143 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 22.65461
Report created 12/14/24 at 20:00:39 local time.
FACT Ratings
( Fall 2024 OAA American Football )
BASED ON 83 GAMES BETWEEN 22 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Groves MHSAA-2 33.73 .980 .946 343 71 9 0 0
2 Oxford MHSAA-1 27.81 .803 .899 207 96 6 1 0
3 Adams MHSAA-1 26.38 .786 .887 253 97 7 2 0
4 Clarkston MHSAA-1 22.55 .660 .850 240 147 6 3 0
5 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 20.23 .623 .827 224 161 5 3 0
6 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 16.23 .450 .789 188 166 3 4 0
7 Harper Woods MHSAA-4 12.03 .650 .749 187 108 4 2 0
8 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 1.14 .378 .657 155 202 3 5 0
9 Rochester MHSAA-1 -8.05 .325 .573 142 178 2 5 0
10 Seaholm MHSAA-2 -12.13 .593 .530 213 167 6 4 0
11 N Farmington MHSAA-2 -15.89 .679 .488 173 124 6 2 0
12 Avondale MHSAA-3 -16.59 .666 .480 171 87 4 2 0
13 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -18.29 .669 .460 170 122 5 2 0
14 Farmington MHSAA-2 -22.82 .571 .408 139 107 4 3 0
15 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 -30.52 .036 .323 52 260 0 7 0
16 Troy MHSAA-1 -30.53 .496 .323 159 164 4 4 0
17 Oak Park MHSAA-2 -36.55 .393 .264 137 188 3 5 0
18 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 -42.85 .277 .209 102 198 2 6 0
19 Berkley MHSAA-2 -52.27 .333 .138 89 168 2 4 0
20 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -56.04 .158 .112 93 263 1 7 0
21 Royal Oak MHSAA-2 -61.29 .204 .081 55 177 1 5 0
22 Pontiac MHSAA-4 -82.62 .017 .006 24 265 0 7 0
LN( 83- 22+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Clarkston MHSAA-1 23 Oxford MHSAA-1 15 .546
2 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 49 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 41 .593
3 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 28 Adams MHSAA-1 25 .608
4 Adams MHSAA-1 41 Clarkston MHSAA-1 0 .631
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 12-14-2024 at 20:56:21 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 14.20