OAA Football Computer Ratings (2023)
As of 2024-01-01 21:48:12 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
^=OAA Blue Division
%=OAA Gold Division
W L
- -
1 *Southfield A/T 13 1 767
2 W Bloomfield 10 3 735
3 Lake Orion 10 1 719
4 Clarkston 6 6 694
5 ^Seaholm 9 2 652
6 *Harper Woods 11 3 647
7 Adams 6 4 644
8 Oxford 4 6 624
9 *Groves 6 4 609
10 Stoney Creek 3 6 569
11 *Rochester 3 6 544
12 %Avondale 9 2 518
13 *Farmington 2 7 516
14 *Bloomfield Hills 1 8 478
15 ^N Farmington 4 5 462
16 ^Oak Park 3 6 432
17 ^Troy 5 4 375
18 %Ferndale 4 5 346
19 ^Athens-Troy 3 6 330
20 %Royal Oak 3 6 273
21 %Pontiac 3 6 231
22 %Berkley 0 9 173
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Northville 1 0 794
Mott-Waterford 1 0 752
Eisenhower 2 1 697
Belleville 0 1 667
Cass Tech 0 2 667
Fordson 0 1 667
Renaissance 0 1 667
Utica 2 0 643
Chippewa Val 0 2 638
Det Jesuit 2 1 635
Saline 0 1 619
Stevenson-Livonia 0 1 619
Walled Lk Western 1 0 618
Reeths-Puffer 1 0 616
Romeo 0 1 594
Caledonia 1 0 562
Airport 0 1 547
Cros-Lexington 0 1 547
Goodrich 0 1 547
Marysville 0 1 547
Roseville 0 1 547
Sotuh Chr 0 1 547
St Mary Prep 0 1 544
Sterling Hts-Stev 0 1 544
Fraser 2 0 473
Anchor Bay 0 1 469
L'Anse Creuse 1 0 446
Walled Lk N'ern 0 1 444
Ford-SH 1 0 430
Holly 2 1 427
Brandon 0 1 418
Cousino 0 1 418
Fitzgerald 0 1 418
Det Ford 0 1 416
Lamphere 1 0 373
Garden City 1 0 331
L'Anse Creuse N 0 1 275
Mumford 0 1 275
Lakeview-SCS 1 0 273
Walled Lk Cent 1 0 273
Lake Shore-SCS 0 1 246
Taylor 0 1 173
Bp Foley 0 1 131
Lincoln-King 0 1 131
Upsets: 9 of 159 ( 5.66%) -- 139 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 42.20353
Report created 01/01/24 at 21:48:12 local time.
FACT Ratings
( Fall 2023 OAA American Football )
BASED ON 84 GAMES BETWEEN 22 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 32.90 .876 .922 353 153 8 1 0
2 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 28.42 .791 .881 267 157 7 1 0
3 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 26.46 .702 .861 383 264 8 3 0
4 Seaholm MHSAA-2 25.55 .945 .851 361 139 9 0 0
5 Clarkston MHSAA-1 23.17 .541 .825 228 220 5 4 0
6 Harper Woods MHSAA-4 18.71 .649 .776 272 136 5 3 0
7 Groves MHSAA-2 16.09 .626 .747 320 195 6 4 0
8 Adams MHSAA-1 13.24 .521 .717 191 168 4 4 0
9 Oxford MHSAA-1 3.41 .373 .624 188 241 3 5 0
10 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 0.95 .325 .603 219 217 2 6 0
11 Rochester MHSAA-1 -10.34 .281 .517 107 214 2 5 0
12 Farmington MHSAA-2 -20.93 .142 .435 42 228 1 5 0
13 Avondale MHSAA-3 -23.32 .803 .415 188 71 5 1 0
14 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -24.64 .141 .404 123 336 1 8 0
15 N Farmington MHSAA-2 -30.02 .493 .360 200 203 4 4 0
16 Oak Park MHSAA-2 -37.46 .379 .303 134 217 3 5 0
17 Troy MHSAA-1 -47.33 .523 .237 137 107 3 3 0
18 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -53.03 .413 .202 115 130 2 3 0
19 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 -61.28 .427 .157 166 188 3 4 0
20 Royal Oak MHSAA-2 -71.77 .383 .111 128 148 2 4 0
21 Pontiac MHSAA-3 -94.34 .183 .044 90 218 1 4 0
22 Berkley MHSAA-2 -107.63 .027 .009 36 298 0 7 0
LN( 84- 22+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Harper Woods MHSAA-4 34 Clarkston MHSAA-1 7 .410
2 Clarkston MHSAA-1 38 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 37 .539
3 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 31 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 20 .634
4 Clarkston MHSAA-1 44 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 36 .636
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 11-23-2023 at 00:26:53 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 15.15