OAA Football Computer Ratings (2021)
As of 2021-12-12 19:22:29 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
^=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 *Adams 13 1 764 (D1 Runners-Up)
2 W Bloomfield 10 2 687
3 Oxford 6 5 640
4 Clarkston 8 2 613
5 *Rochester 5 4 559
6 Stoney Creek 4 5 549
7 *Oak Park 3 6 522
8 Southfield A/T 2 7 517
9 Lake Orion 3 6 506
10 ^Bloomfield Hills 9 1 504
11 *Groves 2 7 490
12 *N Farmington 3 6 488
13 *Seaholm 1 8 454
14 ^Troy 8 2 447
15 ^Berkley 7 3 415
16 ^Athens-Troy 5 4 347
17 ^Farmington 4 5 344
18 ^Avondale 4 6 343
19 ^Royal Oak 2 7 269
20 ^Ferndale 1 8 230
21 ^Pontiac 0 9 169
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Belleville 1 0 864
Romeo 1 0 740
Grand Blanc 0 1 664
Lapeer 0 1 664
Huron-AA 1 0 659
St Mary Prep 1 0 622
Cass Tech 1 0 617
River Rouge 1 0 617
Saline 1 0 606
Det Cath Cent 1 1 596
Dexter 1 0 590
Stevenson-SH 1 0 590
TC Central 1 0 588
Novi 0 1 587
Byron Center 1 0 554
Chippewa Val 1 1 545
Mott-Waterford 1 0 515
Davison 0 1 513
L'Anse Creuse N 0 1 459
Port Huron 0 1 449
Brother Rice 1 0 443
Holly 1 0 443
Eisenhower 0 2 414
Kettering-Wat 0 1 404
Fraser 1 0 369
Edsel Ford 0 1 347
Walled Lk Western 1 0 330
Clarenceville 0 1 315
Stockbridge 1 0 269
Renaissance 0 2 267
Upsets: 8 of 131 ( 6.11%) -- 119 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 4.73429
Report created 12/12/21 at 19:09:41 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2021 )
BASED ON 82 GAMES BETWEEN 21 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Adams MHSAA-1 41.87 .929 .974 301 111 10 0 0
2 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 33.63 .750 .922 273 193 7 2 0
3 Clarkston MHSAA-1 27.31 .773 .866 336 194 7 2 0
4 Oxford MHSAA-1 25.97 .539 .852 263 264 5 4 0
5 Rochester MHSAA-1 14.46 .524 .709 159 180 4 3 0
6 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 14.34 .387 .707 154 191 3 5 0
7 Oak Park MHSAA-2 11.99 .416 .672 174 192 3 5 0
8 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 10.56 .327 .651 210 252 2 5 0
9 N Farmington MHSAA-2 8.50 .452 .621 264 189 3 5 0
10 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 8.41 .308 .619 172 226 2 5 0
11 Groves MHSAA-2 5.14 .272 .573 87 199 2 5 0
12 Seaholm MHSAA-2 -0.49 .138 .504 108 267 1 7 0
13 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -12.49 .956 .404 260 73 8 0 0
14 Troy MHSAA-1 -23.46 .786 .330 136 67 6 1 0
15 Berkley MHSAA-2 -26.10 .737 .311 190 86 5 2 0
16 Farmington MHSAA-2 -39.29 .469 .212 208 204 4 5 0
17 Avondale MHSAA-3 -39.79 .518 .208 187 172 4 4 0
18 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 -40.57 .504 .202 257 199 4 4 0
19 Royal Oak MHSAA-1 -57.36 .154 .103 113 248 1 6 0
20 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -68.82 .154 .054 82 218 1 6 0
21 Pontiac MHSAA-3 -82.22 .022 .008 48 257 0 6 0
LN( 82- 21+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 24 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 7 .363
2 Seaholm MHSAA-2 41 N Farmington MHSAA-2 34 .376
3 Groves MHSAA-2 22 Oak Park MHSAA-2 14 .438
4 N Farmington MHSAA-2 44 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 22 .554
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 11-17-2021 at 20:26:08 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 12.50