OAA Football Computer Ratings (2020)
As of 2021-01-24 21:57:30 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
^=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 Clarkston 7 1 774
2 W Bloomfield 11 1 739 -- D1 State Champion
3 *Stoney Creek 7 1 640
4 Lake Orion 3 3 611
5 *Seaholm 6 2 608
6 *N Farmington 7 3 570
7 Southfield A/T 3 4 559
8 *Adams 3 5 542
9 Oxford 2 5 504
10 ^Rochester 6 1 501
11 ^Ferndale 4 3 483
12 Oak Park 5 6 450
13 ^Berkley 5 3 428
14 ^Avondale 4 3 419
15 ^Troy 4 4 410
16 ^Athens-Troy 2 4 409
17 ^Bloomfield Hills 3 4 399
18 *Groves 1 7 364
19 *Farmington 0 7 327
20 ^Royal Oak 1 6 320
21 ^Pontiac 0 7 245
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Grand Blanc 2 0 866
Romeo 1 1 689
TC Central 1 0 670
Stevenson-StHts 2 1 643
Davison 1 1 640
Belleville 0 1 639
Ford-SH 0 1 639
Allen Park 1 0 583
Renaissance 1 0 583
De LaSalle 1 0 550
Chippewa Val 0 1 540
Mott-Warren 1 0 528
Sterling Hts 0 1 508
Brother Rice 1 0 499
Fenton 0 1 470
Kettering-Wat 0 1 470
South Lyon 0 1 470
Fraser 1 0 420
L'Anse Creuse N 0 1 404
Det Jesuit 0 2 354
Churchill 0 1 350
Grosse Pt South 0 1 350
Roosevelt 0 1 350
Bay City Cent 1 0 345
Lincoln Park 0 1 328
Walled Lk Cent 0 1 310
Upsets: 4 of 131 ( 3.05%) -- 98 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 9.31737
Report created 01/24/21 at 20:32:56 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2020 )
BASED ON 61 GAMES BETWEEN 21 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Stoney Creek MHSAA-1 53.00 .968 .956 233 58 6 0 0
2 Clarkston MHSAA-1 49.82 .921 .939 217 73 7 0 0
3 W Bloomfield MHSAA-1 43.01 .849 .897 243 42 6 1 0 -- D1 State Champ
4 Southfield A/T MHSAA-1 31.70 .555 .812 155 89 3 3 0
5 N Farmington MHSAA-2 25.94 .660 .761 100 92 3 1 0
6 Seaholm MHSAA-2 24.56 .536 .749 116 119 3 2 0
7 Lake Orion MHSAA-1 20.50 .505 .712 80 72 2 2 0
8 Adams MHSAA-1 16.50 .475 .675 150 148 3 4 0
9 Oxford MHSAA-1 9.02 .176 .609 38 149 1 5 0
10 Groves MHSAA-2 5.50 .298 .580 105 137 1 3 0
11 Oak Park MHSAA-2 -3.79 .056 .512 25 171 0 5 0
12 Farmington MHSAA-1 -10.41 .043 .470 60 231 0 6 0
13 Rochester MHSAA-1 -20.45 .841 .418 274 98 6 1 0
14 Ferndale MHSAA-2 -42.59 .730 .318 136 92 4 1 0
15 Berkley MHSAA-2 -54.94 .646 .231 161 102 4 2 0
16 Avondale MHSAA-2 -56.22 .538 .221 172 105 3 3 0
17 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 -56.79 .398 .217 114 146 2 4 0
18 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 -59.65 .456 .194 133 162 3 3 0
19 Troy MHSAA-1 -64.72 .400 .154 108 172 3 4 0
20 Royal Oak MHSAA-2 -78.07 .239 .077 91 157 1 5 0
21 Pontiac MHSAA-3 -115.86 .003 .001 10 306 0 6 0
LN( 61- 21+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Troy MHSAA-1 29 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 14 .499
2 Avondale MHSAA-2 37 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 9 .653
3 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 21 Athens-Troy MHSAA-1 13 .667
4 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-1 35 Berkley MHSAA-2 34 .727
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 01-10-2021 at 20:28:29 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 16.25