OAA Football Computer Ratings (2018)
As of 2018-12-04 00:49:55 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 Clarkston 11 3 744 D1 Runners-Up
2 *Oak Park 9 2 711
3 W Bloomfield 9 3 709
4 Oxford 8 3 679
5 Lake Orion 5 5 647
6 Adams 6 4 640
7 *Groves 10 3 638
8 Southfield A/T 3 6 606
9 *Harrison-FH 8 4 561
10 #Seaholm 7 3 553
11 Bloomfield Hills 2 7 539
12 #Farmington 8 4 512
13 #Ferndale 7 3 469
14 *Stoney Creek 3 6 467
15 *Rochester 2 7 462
16 #Avondale 7 3 435
17 *Athens-Troy 1 8 422
18 *Troy 2 7 405
19 #Royal Oak 5 4 396
20 #N Farmington 3 6 354
21 #Berkley 2 7 289
22 #Hazel Park 4 5 285
23 #Pontiac 1 8 202
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Chippewa Val 1 0 844
Belleville 1 0 809
De LaSalle 2 0 807
Lapeer 2 1 719
River Rouge 1 0 706
Lakeland 1 1 692
Chelsea 1 0 661
South Lyon 1 0 653
Grandville 0 1 644
Saline 0 1 644
Davison 1 1 621
DeWitt 1 0 612
Madison-Mad Hts 1 0 612
Eisenhower 0 1 611
Det Cath Cent 0 1 609
Plymouth 0 1 609
St Mary Prep 0 1 609
Romeo 0 1 579
Monroe 0 1 547
Brother Rice 0 1 538
Franklin 0 1 538
Lakeview-SCS 1 0 496
Cranbrook-Kingswd 0 1 461
Lutheran N 1 0 454
Utica 0 1 439
S Lyon East 0 1 412
Det Cou Day 0 2 377
Fraser 0 1 369
Thurston 0 1 369
Ford-SH 0 1 367
Fitzgerald 0 1 335
Clawson 1 0 302
Richard-AA 1 0 302
Edison PSA 0 1 296
Jefferson 0 1 296
Lincoln-Warren 0 1 189
Lamphere 0 1 185
Uni Prep Sci/Math 0 1 185
University Prep 0 1 185
Voyageur 0 1 102
Upsets: 6 of 163 ( 3.68%) -- 140 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 41.78454
Report created 12/03/18 at 23:59:57 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2018 )
BASED ON 94 GAMES BETWEEN 23 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Clarkston MHSAA-A 22.19 .759 .889 275 130 7 2 0 Co-Champ
2 W Bloomfield MHSAA-A 22.17 .721 .889 273 186 6 2 0 Co-Champ
3 Oak Park MHSAA-A 20.02 .822 .866 259 153 8 1 0 Discretionary Co-Champ
4 Oxford MHSAA-A 18.72 .741 .852 254 123 6 2 0
5 Groves MHSAA-A 13.80 .792 .793 313 128 8 2 0
6 Adams MHSAA-A 12.09 .619 .771 195 172 6 3 0
7 Lake Orion MHSAA-A 10.83 .482 .756 181 188 4 4 0
8 Southfield A/T MHSAA-A 7.97 .453 .719 195 172 3 4 0
9 Harrison-FH MHSAA-B 1.92 .677 .644 273 120 6 3 0
10 Seaholm MHSAA-A 0.54 .776 .627 323 124 7 2 0
11 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-A -9.81 .135 .503 100 335 1 7 0
12 Farmington MHSAA-A -11.62 .735 .481 241 149 7 2 0
13 Rochester MHSAA-A -16.20 .295 .426 192 256 2 7 0
14 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A -16.60 .281 .422 116 208 2 6 0
15 Ferndale MHSAA-A -17.46 .591 .411 195 128 4 3 0
16 Athens-Troy MHSAA-A -24.93 .148 .326 106 291 1 8 0
17 Avondale MHSAA-A -24.97 .666 .326 306 143 6 3 0
18 Troy MHSAA-A -30.98 .215 .265 106 277 2 7 0
19 Royal Oak MHSAA-A -37.67 .458 .206 116 136 3 3 0
20 N Farmington MHSAA-A -46.49 .352 .143 88 207 3 5 0
21 Hazel Park MHSAA-B -55.03 .234 .092 78 173 1 5 0
22 Berkley MHSAA-A -55.18 .182 .091 112 231 1 7 0
23 Pontiac MHSAA-B -87.14 .009 .003 28 295 0 6 0
LN( 94- 23+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Troy MHSAA-A 27 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A 21 .321
2 Southfield A/T MHSAA-A 37 W Bloomfield MHSAA-A 35 .388
3 Adams MHSAA-A 17 Oxford MHSAA-A 8 .510
4 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A 25 Rochester MHSAA-A 0 .550
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 12-04-2018 at 00:15:32 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 15.40