OAA Football Computer Ratings (2016)
As of 2018-07-31 21:18:28 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 *Groves 11 2 705
2 Southfield A/T 8 4 648
3 *Oak Park 7 4 641
4 Clarkston 9 3 601
5 *Harrison-FH 5 4 586
6 W Bloomfield 6 5 581
7 *Adams 6 4 579
8 Lake Orion 5 5 562
9 #Bloomfield Hills 9 1 549
10 Oxford 4 5 540
11 *Seaholm 3 6 498
12 Stoney Creek 2 7 479
13 #Rochester 5 4 454
14 #Berkley 6 4 448
15 #Ferndale 7 3 440
16 *Farmington 2 7 424
17 #Troy 4 5 423
18 Athens-Troy 1 8 385
19 #Avondale 3 6 371
20 #Royal Oak 2 7 366
21 #Hazel Park 2 7 358
22 *N Farmington 0 9 327
23 #Pontiac 1 8 271
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Saline 1 0 805
Det ML King 4 0 789
Eisenhower 1 0 748
Cass Tech 1 0 741
East Kentwood 1 0 686
Mott-Waterford 1 0 679
Chippewa Val 1 0 662
Romeo 2 1 633
Grosse Pt South 0 1 605
Brother Rice 1 1 603
Det Jesuit 0 1 541
Mott-Warren 1 1 527
Walled Lk Cent 1 0 523
Det Cou Day 2 0 516
Davison 0 1 501
Lapeer 0 2 501
Almont 1 0 471
Huron-New Boston 1 0 471
Lakeview-SCS 1 0 466
Stockbridge 1 0 466
Fitzgerald 1 0 458
Flat Rock 1 0 458
Shrine 1 0 458
Pontiac ND Prep 1 3 433
Thurston 1 0 427
Walled Lk N'ern 1 0 427
Old Redford 1 0 371
Holly 0 1 348
Edsel Ford 0 1 340
Madison-Mad Hts 0 1 340
Walled Lk Western 0 1 324
Lamphere 0 2 274
Harper Woods 0 1 171
Upsets: 8 of 152 ( 5.26%) -- 136 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 18.13530
Report created 06/26/17 at 20:50:13 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA Football: Fall 2016 )
BASED ON 87 GAMES BETWEEN 23 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Groves Class A 29.36 .921 .959 241 49 8 0 0
2 Southfield A/T Class A 20.45 .773 .885 261 127 7 2 0
3 Oak Park Class A 20.00 .715 .881 215 115 6 2 0
4 Clarkston Class A 17.88 .770 .858 251 117 6 2 0
5 Adams Class A 13.32 .690 .806 276 132 6 3 0
6 Harrison-FH Class A 12.14 .624 .793 187 63 4 3 0
7 W Bloomfield Class A 6.64 .582 .728 277 239 6 4 0
8 Lake Orion Class A 2.91 .587 .685 195 190 5 3 0
9 Bloomfield Hills Class A 2.51 .850 .680 268 134 8 1 0
10 Oxford Class A -6.89 .387 .575 185 236 3 5 0
11 Seaholm Class A -12.56 .278 .507 106 205 2 5 0
12 Stoney Creek Class A -15.60 .239 .468 133 243 2 7 0
13 Berkley Class A -20.60 .588 .399 233 209 5 3 0
14 Farmington Class A -21.39 .171 .388 109 306 1 7 0
15 Ferndale Class A -23.06 .664 .364 198 127 4 2 0
16 Rochester Class A -23.42 .479 .359 215 235 4 4 0
17 Troy Class A -26.73 .525 .311 131 113 3 3 0
18 Royal Oak Class A -33.44 .358 .221 154 156 2 5 0
19 Avondale Class A -34.43 .376 .208 116 130 2 4 0
20 Athens-Troy Class A -35.96 .136 .190 104 257 1 6 0
21 Hazel Park Class B -39.83 .298 .147 114 221 2 4 0
22 N Farmington Class A -49.52 .027 .066 33 231 0 6 0
23 Pontiac Class A -57.85 .029 .022 47 214 0 6 0
LN( 87- 23+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Lake Orion Class A 21 Southfield A/T Class A 14 .170 2016-09-23
2 Royal Oak Class A 28 Troy Class A 21 .482 2016-09-16
3 Rochester Class A 41 Berkley Class A 27 .525 2016-09-23
4 Hazel Park Class B 19 Royal Oak Class A 14 .533 2016-09-23
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 06-26-2017 at 21:11:41 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 13.15