OAA Football Computer Ratings (2015)
As of 2019-03-29 01:00:08 America/Detroit
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 #Groves 10 1 651
2 W Bloomfield 9 1 634
3 *Harrison-FH 7 3 567
4 #Berkley 8 4 564
5 Clarkston 7 3 551
6 *Southfield 7 4 518
7 #Royal Oak 5 4 503
8 #Avondale 4 5 488
9 *Oak Park 5 5 483
10 #Sfld-Lathrup 6 4 481
11 *Farmington 5 5 476
12 Athens-Troy 5 4 469
13 *N Farmington 5 4 455
14 *Adams 4 5 427
15 Lake Orion 4 5 425
16 *Seaholm 3 6 422
17 #Ferndale 2 7 406
18 Oxford 3 6 388
19 *Rochester 1 8 370
20 Stoney Creek 3 6 366
21 #Hazel Park 1 8 362
22 Bloomfield Hills 1 8 309
23 #Pontiac 0 9 300
24 Troy 0 9 249
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Walled Lk Western 1 0 751
Novi 1 0 734
East Kentwood 1 0 667
Holly 1 0 664
Franklin 3 0 659
Dakota 1 0 651
Romeo 2 0 647
Cass Tech 1 0 618
Huron-New Boston 1 0 588
Kettering-Wat 1 0 588
Zeeland West 1 0 583
L'Anse Creuse N 1 0 569
Pioneer 0 1 551
Dearborn 0 1 534
Chippewa Val 1 0 525
Consortium Col Pr 1 0 506
Garden City 1 1 485
Lapeer 1 0 470
Fitzgerald 1 0 462
Flat Rock 1 0 462
Walled Lk N'ern 1 0 409
Union-Redford 1 0 400
Glenn-Westland 0 1 381
University Prep 0 1 381
Sterling Hts-Stev 1 0 349
Upsets: 10 of 138 ( 7.25%) -- 129 total games.
Rating Adjustment: -16.13782
Report created 03/29/19 at 00:58:38 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2015 )
BASED ON 100 GAMES BETWEEN 24 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Groves MHSAA-A 25.69 .977 .960 317 44 9 0 0
2 W Bloomfield MHSAA-A 24.00 .954 .951 281 86 8 0 0
3 Clarkston MHSAA-A 12.34 .864 .860 275 98 7 1 0
4 Harrison-FH MHSAA-A 12.25 .749 .859 203 84 7 2 0
5 Southfield MHSAA-A 2.50 .708 .740 277 161 7 3 0
6 Berkley MHSAA-A 1.13 .747 .719 264 161 7 2 0
7 Oak Park MHSAA-A -1.54 .545 .675 187 167 5 4 0
8 Farmington MHSAA-A -4.88 .558 .615 238 201 5 4 0
9 Royal Oak MHSAA-A -5.54 .634 .603 185 139 5 3 0
10 Athens-Troy MHSAA-A -6.57 .597 .583 145 99 5 3 0
11 N Farmington MHSAA-A -9.81 .511 .520 174 194 5 4 0
12 Avondale MHSAA-A -10.41 .560 .509 174 166 4 3 0
13 Adams MHSAA-A -10.63 .489 .504 201 139 4 5 0
14 Seaholm MHSAA-A -12.87 .353 .461 207 267 3 6 0
15 Lake Orion MHSAA-A -12.92 .512 .460 156 121 4 4 0
16 Sfld-Lathrup MHSAA-A -13.02 .461 .458 171 194 4 4 0
17 Oxford MHSAA-A -21.68 .367 .305 192 251 3 5 0
18 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A -21.81 .383 .303 173 200 3 6 0
19 Rochester MHSAA-A -22.23 .153 .297 98 276 1 7 0
20 Ferndale MHSAA-B -23.34 .323 .280 137 187 2 5 0
21 Hazel Park MHSAA-B -34.03 .181 .157 130 235 1 6 0
22 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-A -39.46 .137 .114 76 248 1 7 0
23 Troy MHSAA-A -53.30 .021 .038 48 323 0 8 0
24 Pontiac MHSAA-A -55.75 .009 .027 48 316 0 8 0
LN( 100- 24+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Oak Park MHSAA-A 50 Southfield MHSAA-A 14 .377
2 Royal Oak MHSAA-A 34 Berkley MHSAA-A 21 .401
3 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A 21 Lake Orion MHSAA-A 14 .409
4 Seaholm MHSAA-A 40 N Farmington MHSAA-A 21 .471
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 03-29-2019 at 01:05:17 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 13.40