OAA Football Ratings (2019)
As of 2019-11-24 17:02:59.
Wilson Performance Ratings
DAVID L WILSON PERFORMANCE RATINGS
*=OAA White Division
#=OAA Blue Division
W L
- -
1 #N Farmington 9 1 680
2 #Farmington 8 2 630
3 W Bloomfield 10 2 605
4 Lake Orion 9 2 574
5 *Oak Park 8 2 567
6 Adams 7 3 555
7 *Seaholm 9 4 545
8 *Groves 8 3 543
9 #Ferndale 4 5 504
10 Southfield A/T 4 5 478
11 Clarkston 3 6 476
12 *Stoney Creek 5 5 465
13 #Avondale 4 5 456
14 #Royal Oak 2 7 412
15 Oxford 1 8 400
16 *Athens-Troy 3 6 389
17 Bloomfield Hills 2 7 368
18 #Berkley 2 7 363
19 *Rochester 1 8 318
20 #Pontiac 0 9 297
21 *Troy 0 9 259
--- teams from other divisions ---
W L
- -
Det Jesuit 2 0 777
Belleville 1 0 705
Eisenhower 2 0 673
Det ML King 1 0 645
Woodhaven 1 0 643
Allen Park 1 0 604
Det Cou Day 1 0 604
Kettering-Wat 0 1 580
Okemos 0 1 580
River Rouge 1 0 578
Cass Tech 1 0 576
Renaissance 1 0 556
Lincoln-Ypsilanti 0 2 532
Det Ford 0 1 530
Anderson 1 0 512
Kearsley 1 0 512
Lakeview-SCS 1 0 512
Canton 0 1 505
Plymouth 0 1 505
Romeo 1 0 500
Notre Dame-Pont 2 0 488
Lapeer 0 1 474
Monroe 0 1 474
Utica 1 0 468
Brandon 1 0 463
Port Huron 0 1 445
Sterling Hts 0 1 445
De LaSalle 0 2 444
Grosse Pt South 0 1 443
Cranbrook-Kingswd 1 0 397
Det Leadership 1 0 397
Richard-AA 1 0 397
Ford-SH 0 1 365
Det Old Redford 0 1 289
Upsets: 3 of 136 ( 2.21%) -- 122 total games.
Rating Adjustment: 1.39376
Report created 11/24/19 at 15:55:42 local time.
FACT Ratings
( OAA American Football: Fall 2019 )
BASED ON 82 GAMES BETWEEN 21 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 N Farmington MHSAA-A 32.05 .959 .966 243 43 6 0 0
2 Farmington MHSAA-A 22.65 .832 .905 216 74 5 1 0
3 W Bloomfield MHSAA-A 15.78 .831 .843 252 104 7 1 0
4 Oak Park MHSAA-A 13.43 .804 .819 352 128 8 2 0
5 Lake Orion MHSAA-A 11.02 .848 .793 324 145 7 1 0
6 Groves MHSAA-A 6.69 .715 .744 242 132 6 2 0
7 Adams MHSAA-A 4.16 .725 .714 252 171 7 2 0
8 Seaholm MHSAA-A 1.29 .698 .682 343 179 7 3 0
9 Southfield A/T MHSAA-A -7.81 .547 .582 233 153 4 4 0
10 Stoney Creek MHSAA-A -8.06 .514 .579 238 131 4 5 0
11 Clarkston MHSAA-A -10.74 .371 .552 209 255 3 5 0
12 Ferndale MHSAA-A -23.34 .549 .438 148 157 4 3 0
13 Oxford MHSAA-A -25.45 .163 .421 98 250 1 7 0
14 Avondale MHSAA-A -37.05 .492 .326 244 249 4 4 0
15 Bloomfield Hills MHSAA-A -41.79 .256 .286 151 311 2 6 0
16 Athens-Troy MHSAA-A -43.78 .268 .270 151 276 2 5 0
17 Royal Oak MHSAA-A -49.66 .337 .222 84 151 2 4 0
18 Rochester MHSAA-A -58.46 .136 .158 127 371 1 8 0
19 Berkley MHSAA-A -61.46 .309 .140 122 183 2 5 0
20 Troy MHSAA-A -82.71 .017 .047 45 385 0 9 0
21 Pontiac MHSAA-A -92.61 .006 .015 18 244 0 5 0
LN( 82- 21+1) = 4 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
1 Seaholm MHSAA-A 42 Groves MHSAA-A 7 .362
2 Groves MHSAA-A 24 W Bloomfield MHSAA-A 17 .456
3 Groves MHSAA-A 35 Seaholm MHSAA-A 14 .752
4 Southfield A/T MHSAA-A 28 Clarkston MHSAA-A 14 .752
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER, FACT,
Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments
FACT standings calculated by timStats, LLC
statman14 -at- hotmail.com
This report was created on 11-10-2019 at 12:06:12 local time.
Estimated Std Deviation: 15.25